Índice de Actividad Manufacturera desciende a 50.0 en noviembre 2020

El Índice Mensual de Actividad Manufacturera (IMAM) de la Asociación de Industrias de la República Dominicana (AIRD) descendió en noviembre con relación al mes de octubre al pasar de 69.0 a 50.0.

Se precisa que este indicador es un retrato de la actividad manufacturera de un mes con relación al anterior y que desciende por primera vez luego de ascender tres meses consecutivos en relación a su mes anterior de referencia.

Cuando el IMAM se ubica por debajo del umbral de los 50 puntos refleja que las condiciones y perspectivas económicas del sector manufacturero se consideran no favorables. Al ubicarse en 50.0 en noviembre su comportamiento se ubica como neutro con relación al mes de octubre 2020.

El IMAM es presentado con un ajuste por estacionalidad y ponderado en sus cinco variables y como índice general, lo cual permite tener una aproximación más confiable al tomar en cuenta las fluctuaciones recurrentes y por tanto predecibles que ocurren en un periodo dentro de un año, que tiende a afectar la medición de los resultados.

La muestra totaliza 500 empresas las cuales se han seleccionado de acuerdo a su importancia económica, sector y geografía.

Para la conformación del IMAN se establece el saldo de opinión de cinco variables: el volumen de las ventas, el volumen de producción, el comportamiento del empleo, el plazo de entrega que toman los suplidores, y el comportamiento de los inventarios de insumos y materias primas de un mes con relación al otro.

En cuanto a las variables examinadas, estas fueron ponderadas y ajustadas por estacionalidad y al reportar a noviembre con relación a octubre se tiene:

“Volumen de Ventas” de 75.7 en octubre a 41.6 en noviembre; “Volumen de Producción” se mostró en 80.0 en octubre pasando a 50.3 en noviembre.

“Empleo” pasó de 67.1 en octubre a 49.2 en noviembre. “Inventario de Materias Primas” pasó de 49.7 en octubre a 52.05 en noviembre, y “Plazo Entrega Suplidores” pasó de 63.5 en octubre a 60.9 en noviembre.

Cuatro de los cinco indicadores mostraron una tendencia a la baja en noviembre con relación a octubre.

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